Ducks and Huskies collide in Seattle

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

01/25/2007 - Seattle, WA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The seventh-ranked Oregon Ducks are a legitimate threat to reach the Final Four, and they will take on a disappointing group of Washington Huskies tonight in a Pac-10 tilt.

Oregon owns an 18-1 record, and a victory tonight would give the program its best start ever. The Ducks have won five straight decisions since their only loss of the season, a two-point setback to USC. On Saturday, they put forth an outstanding offensive effort in a 92-84 triumph over California.

While Oregon is enjoying perhaps its best season ever, Washington has been one of the nation's most disappointing teams. Sure, the club's 11-7 record is decent, but the Huskies are just 1-6 against Pac-10 opponents. Saturday's loss was particularly embarrassing, as the Huskies dropped a 75-47 decision to rival Washington State to stretch their current losing skid to three games.

Washington holds a commanding 178-100 lead in the all-time series with Oregon, including a 105-31 edge in Seattle.

There is no shortage of options at the offensive end for Oregon, as five players are averaging double figures in scoring. The Ducks are posting 80.3 ppg through 19 outings while limiting foes to 64.8 ppg. Aaron Brooks continues to pace Oregon with 18.4 ppg, and he has dished out 85 assists. Bryce Taylor checks in with 16.0 ppg on 52.6 percent shooting from the floor, and Malik Hairston adds 13.3 ppg. Tajuan Porter is contributing 13.0 ppg, and Maarty Leunen rounds out a talented group with 11.7 ppg and 9.8 rpg. In the hard-fought win over California on Saturday, all five players mentioned tallied at least 12 points, and Brooks led the way once again with 22 points. Oregon connected on 56.6 percent of its field goal attempts, including a 12-of-22 showing from three-point range, and the team also knocked down 20-of-22 free throws. The Ducks finished with 22 assists against a mere nine turnovers.

Overall, Washington is scoring 81.4 ppg, but the team has not been nearly that productive in most of its league contests. Spencer Hawes is the top offensive performer for the Huskies, as he is netting 15.2 ppg on 55.6 percent shooting from the floor. Jon Brockman adds 13.2 ppg and 9.7 rpg, and he is shooting well over 50 percent from the field as well. Quincy Pondexter checks in with 13.1 ppg, and Justin Dentmon rounds out a foursome of double-digit performers with 10.4 ppg. In the 28-point loss to Washington State, the Huskies shot a lowly 28.3 percent from the field and permitted the Cougars to make good on 53.6 percent of their attempts from the floor. Pondexter managed 16 points in the setback, and Brockman contributed 13 points.

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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.