Koivu gives Montreal a shootout win over Nashville

Hockey Betting Lines

02/23/2007 - Nashville, TN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Saku Koivu tallied the game-winner in a shootout to go along with two assists as Montreal edged Nashville, 6-5, at Gaylord Entertainment Center.

Nashville's Paul Kariya scored the first goal in the shootout before Tomas Plekanec evened things for Montreal. After Martin Erat's shot was saved by Jaroslav Halak, Koivu converted to give the Canadiens the advantage.

It was up to newly acquired Predator Peter Forsberg to keep it going, but he never got a clean shot before falling in front of the net to end the game.

Mark Streit and Sergei Samsonov each had a goal and an assist for the Canadiens, who have won three straight. Michael Ryder, Garth Murray and Alexander Perezhogin rounded out the scoring for Montreal.

Halak stopped 26 of the 31 shots he faced for his third win of the campaign.

Steve Sullivan and Scott Hartnell each tallied a goal and an assist, while Jean-Pierre Dumont recorded a goal and two helpers for the Predators, who have dropped three of four. Tomas Vokoun made 22 saves in defeat.

With 48 seconds remaining in regulation, Samsonov scored the equalizer to send the game into overtime. From behind the box, Plekanec fed the puck to Samsonov, who sent a wrister over the stick side of Vokoun.

Neither team could muster much offense in the extra period as Montreal had two shots on goal compared to just one from Nashville.

Nashville wasted no time in taking the lead with two goals in the first four minutes of the game.

The first tally came on the power play when Sullivan took a feed from Ryan Suter and lit the lamp with a 26-foot wrister just 1:22 into the first period. Just 2:35 later, Shea Weber found the net with a wrist shot for the two-goal advantage.

Then, at the 10:43 mark of the first, Ryder converted on the power play and cut Montreal's deficit to 2-1 with a slap shot.

However, the Predators regained their two-goal edge just over three minutes later with Hartnell's tip-in on the man advantage, but the Canadiens made it a 3-2 contest when Streit netted the puck from 10-feet out with 3:33 left in the opening frame.

Early in the second, Dumont netted the disc with a wrister on the power play to put Nashville up 4-2. Montreal, though, once again closed within one when Murray lifted a backhander past Vokoun at the 12:57 mark.

The Canadiens finally tied it at four on Perezhogin's snap shot 4:08 into the third. However, David Legwand's tally just under two minutes later gave the Predators a 5-4 edge.

Game Notes

Nashville finished 3-for-7 on the power play while Montreal converted twice on five chances...Attendance was 15,808.

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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

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